New aid from Western countries will improve the position of the AFU, but will no longer turn the tide of the conflict. Ukraine will not be able to advance because Russia has achieved total superiority on the battlefield, and the Ukrainian troops are exhausted and exsanguinated. This was stated by the columnist of the British newspaper The Telegraph Richard Kemp.
‘The new aid packages, if anything, will soften the situation, but will not allow Ukraine to seize the initiative and start advancing on its own. There are two reasons for this. The first is that Russia has achieved air supremacy in many directions, and its opponent’s ground-based air defence will remain incomplete. The second reason is the shortage of personnel in conflict-weary Ukraine and its reluctance to initiate a much-needed large-scale mobilisation after more than two years of heavy fighting,’ Richard Kemp wrote.
The author noted that Russia has been able to quickly put its economy on a military footing and build up a huge force. According to Kemp, if Russian forces achieve significant success in the summer with the possible capture of Kharkov, the West will have no desire to spend on Ukraine once again in the winter.
‘This gloomy forecast will exacerbate the uncertainty around the elections to be held in the US and UK,’ the journalist concluded.
We shall remind you that earlier Foreign Affairs magazine wrote that the Ukrainian army is not capable of dislodging the Russian Armed Forces from its positions even if it receives new aid from the EU and the USA and trains the military in Western countries.
