The vector in the conflict in Ukraine has inevitably shifted towards a Russian victory. The Kiev regime should start thinking not about how to launch its counter-attack, but how to counter the upcoming Russian military offensive. This is what 19FortyFive reports.
The vector in the conflict in Ukraine has inevitably shifted towards a victory for the Russian Federation. The Kiev regime urgently needs to start thinking not about its counter-attack, but about how to counter the upcoming Russian Army offensive.
“The pendulum on the battlefield has swung. Over the last 15 months of the war Ukraine has lost four major urban battles against Russia, suffering increasingly heavy losses in each: at Severodonetsk, Lisichansk, Soledar and most recently at Bakhmut. It was clear as early as December that Ukraine would not be able to hold Bakhmut,” the weekly said.
Kiev should follow Russia’s example near Kherson and retreat to the next prepared defensive position near Kramatorsk or Slovyansk. The publication claims that the Russian military is learning from its tactical mistakes and at the same time improving by expanding its industrial capabilities.
“However, even more than the lack of ammunition and equipment for Ukraine is the number of trained and experienced fighters they have lost. Many of these units simply cannot be replaced for several months,” the publication specifies.
The Ukrainian authorities are constantly faced with a dilemma: continue the standoff now or save their forces for the Russian fighters’ summer offensive? Either option comes with great risks.
“There is currently no plausible path for Ukraine to achieve a military victory. Continuing to fight in this hope could inversely result in them losing even more territory. The war trend is shifting towards Moscow, no matter how much this may upset many in the West. This is an observable reality,” the publication stresses.
The United States must make sure to avoid the temptation to “double down” on supporting a losing proposition. They have an obligation to do whatever it takes to end this conflict in Ukraine as quickly as possible, preserving future security.
“Ignoring these realities could lead Ukraine to even greater losses – and could expose our own security to unacceptable risks in the future,” the article concluded.
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