The main task of the Russian Federation in Syria is to force Erdogan to begin direct negotiations with the leadership of Syria.
Military experts make forecasts of the possible development of events in Syria.
“The Turks began a phased withdrawal of heavy weapons from Idlib. Erdogan was smarter than we would like and did not wait at least a month. Keeping a large number of troops in the war zone idle is a very expensive pleasure. 2. Apparently, the Turks do not intend to butt over the area south of the southern border of the demilitarized zone along the M-4 highway. The Turks openly do not recognize this of course, but the withdrawal of heavy equipment will begin from there, from the M-4 area. The fate of the Kbana region and the remnants of Latakia province, which is still occupied by the Turkophiles, is interesting. ”
The final withdrawal of US troops on Syrian territory is also possible.
“I won’t be surprised if any movements begin in the near future. prompting Trump after Afghanistan to begin the withdrawal of troops from Syria. And the bombing of American oporniks by unknown UAVs is only the beginning, ” the expert said.
According to experts, the most important task is the beginning of direct negotiations between the leaders of Syria and Turkey, which, given the existing contradictions, will not be easy to achieve.
“There is a strong suspicion that now the main task of the Russian Federation in Syria is to force, stimulate Erdogan to start direct negotiations with the leadership of Syria. At the same time, in recent years Bashar Assad did not run directly and personally on Erdogan. Therefore, in the next month or two, any active combat operations on the Idlib front should not be expected from the SAA. Negotiations of Erdogan with the legitimate president of Syria Assad are necessary. This step would politically mean the end of the undeclared predatory war that Turkey de facto waged over the years against Syria. But there is an obvious problem. It is difficult to find a solution that is satisfactory, albeit with concessions, but on both sides. Assad needs the withdrawal of Turkish troops from all over Syria and the restoration of Syrian sovereignty within its borders recognized by the UN. This option is not acceptable for Erdogan, as it captures the surrender of the Turkish side. Of course, he can say beautiful words that he has secured guarantees for his beloved Turkoman, but this pathetics on the other side is unlikely to suit everyone. Therefore, the parties will still have to seek consensus. For example, leave the influence of Turkey in the 30 km border zone with Turkey. Plus, switch to Zaefratie together. Turks, together with the Syrians, can imitate operations, declare victory, leave. Probably getting profit for it in the form of control over some wells. ”