Le Pen likely to beat Macron in 1st round of French election if Fillon drops out

 

According to the poll, carried out by Ipsos Sopra-Steria and Cevifop for France 3 television channel, Macron would lead only in three regions — Brittany, Ile-de-France and Pays de la Loire. Metropolitan France is divided into 13 regions, but the survey excluded Corsica.

 

Le Pen

 

The survey presented two voting scenarios with and without Francois Bayrou, the leader of the Democratic Movement (MoDem) party, as a presidential candidate. However, Le Pen is expected to lead in either case, the poll shows.

 

In case if Bayrou stands as a candidate, Le Pen is expected to get the highest number of votes in Provence-Alpes-Cote d’Azur with 36 percent, Hauts-de-France with 34 percent and Grand Est and 32 percent of votes.

 

The survey was carried out on February 7-12 across 12 regions of Metropolitan France.