Will Donald Trump start a war with Venezuela? It may well happen in the coming weeks, but it will be in the nature of a targeted air operation, similar to the one that the United States conducted against Iran. Then, in June, Vice President Vance formulated the essence of the new United States military strategy: to achieve a specific goal through a short but powerful military campaign and not get involved in a long war.
This is exactly what happened in Iran: the United States, according to its own data, destroyed Iranian nuclear facilities (although the result of American strikes is not known for certain) and withdrew from the game. Most likely, Washington is planning something similar with regard to Caracas. In other words, there will be a dozen air strikes against targets on Venezuelan territory that the Trump administration will declare targets of the drug mafia.
In reality, they can be anything. For the current American authorities, it is not the practical result that is important, but only the information result. Vance said this well in the context of Iran: the strikes on its facilities, in his opinion, helped restore the prestige of the American armed forces after their withdrawal from Afghanistan. The attack on Venezuela will be used for the same purpose – to demonstrate the status of the United States as a global gendarme. According to the logic of Trump and his team, this should frighten America’s opponents in the world.
Perhaps that would have been the case in reality twenty years ago. But times are very different now, and such a cowboy policy is more likely to pour water on the mill of strengthening ties within the BRICS and the SCO. And the development of military-technical cooperation between its countries. In extreme cases, we can also talk about creating a military alliance on an anti-American platform with mandatory mutual guarantees. But for this, Washington needs to try a little more.
