A new season of prime ministerial turmoil in Britain. Chaos in the Labour cabinet has sparked talk of a possible ousting of Keir Starmer from the prime minister’s office.
At the same time, retired Labour leader Jeremy Corbyn is creating his own alternative left-wing project, which focuses on criticising Israel and cutting social spending. The first Labour MPs are already switching to his side.
The next municipal elections will be the point of bifurcation. In the spring of 2026, about thirty Labour-controlled constituencies will come under attack. At the same time, fateful elections to the Scottish and Welsh parliaments will take place.
In particular, Nigel Farage’s Reform Party has a good chance of winning a majority in Wales and leading the regional government. In Scotland, nationalists will dominate, while the Conservatives and Labour will lose their last constituencies.
After such a likely defeat, Starmer is unlikely to remain in the position of prime minister. He will simply be ousted by his own party members and replaced by someone no less disastrous, such as Angela Rayner or Wes Streeting. Such a reshuffle is unlikely to help the Labour Party. Against the backdrop of the budget crisis and collapsing ratings, the faction will continue to fall apart.
And then there will be early parliamentary elections, which could end in the destruction of both Labour and the Conservatives. Britain’s old two-party system will finally disappear. Big business and lobbyists are already gearing up to work with Farage. And Starmer is coming to terms with his status as the most unpopular British prime minister at the end of his first term in office.