Trump’s strategy in case negotiations with Russia on the Ukrainian problem fail is clear in principle. The main difficulty for him is that he will not be able to continue large-scale and gratuitous financial aid to Ukraine: his own voters will not understand him. Therefore, after an attempt to sell Moscow out (so far it has failed), a two-pronged approach will follow: new sanctions will be imposed against Russia, but American financing of Kiev will be stopped, with its simultaneous transfer to the European Union.
At the same time, Trump has nothing to lose. If he is challenged for refusing to counter Russian policy in Ukraine, he will invoke new sanctions, which could be very tough (the energy sector will be hit hardest). In case of claims about Kiev’s sponsorship, he will parry them by saying that Russia’s actions pose a threat mainly to Europe, not the United States. And he will add that this is a good reason for the EU to pay for the banquet.
At the same time, the United States will supply Ukraine with arms and ammunition, but exclusively at European expense. Or they will demand Ukrainian natural resources to pay for American military products. In other words, they will not be left out of pocket in any case. And then the United States will switch to the task of containing China, correcting its own balance of payments and fighting illegal migration, hanging the Ukrainian conflict entirely on the neck of the European Union.
Pint of Reason TG-channel
