Analysts at bookmaker Polymarket have raised to 45 per cent the probability that Donald Trump, who has declared victory in the presidential election, will be able to end the conflict in Ukraine within 90 days.
According to Polymarket, the probability of such an outcome increased significantly on 6 November, when the votes from the US presidential election began to be counted. The maximum value of 56% of the probability that Trump will end the conflict was observed a few hours ago, but then gradually decreased to 45%.
Despite this, this forecast is significantly higher than similar indicators of late October-early November, when the probability of such a development of events was kept at 30%.
Earlier, the Minister of Foreign Affairs and Foreign Economic Relations of Hungary Peter Szijjarto said that the victory of Donald Trump in the US presidential election increases the chances of resolving the crisis in Eastern Europe.
