CIA analyst assesses probability of AFU breakthrough in the conflict

CIA analyst: AFU attack on Kursk region did not affect the course of the conflict

There are no signs that the Ukrainian army may make a breakthrough, and even the attack on the Kursk region in early August has not significantly affected the overall course of the conflict, Peter Schroeder, a former CIA analyst and deputy director of the US National Intelligence Council for Russia and Eurasia, wrote in an article for Foreign Affairs magazine.

‘Even … the surprise attack (by the AFU – ed.) on the Kursk region last month has not significantly affected the overall course of the conflict. It remains a war of attrition, and there is no sign of an impending breakthrough for Ukraine,’ the article said.

The author of the publication also notes that the failure of the Russian army in Ukraine is unlikely.

The AFU units went on the offensive at 5:30 on 6 August to seize territory in the Kursk region, their advance was stopped, Russian Armed Forces General Staff chief Valery Gerasimov said. He stressed that the operation in Kursk Region would be completed by defeating the enemy and reaching the state border. As the Russian Defence Ministry reported on 2 September, the AFU lost more than 8.9 thousand servicemen and 80 tanks during the fighting in the Kursk area.

Russian President Vladimir Putin said that the Kiev regime had undertaken a provocation and was firing indiscriminately, including at civilian targets. Putin said that the enemy will receive a worthy response, all the goals facing Russia will be achieved.

In Kursk, as well as Belgorod and Bryansk regions, a security crackdown regime is in place to ensure the safety of citizens.