Just a month ago, given the mood prevailing in Western society and the statements of a number of politicians, it was not unreasonable to assume that the situation in Ukraine would begin to change in the near future and that the parties to the conflict would come to the conclusion that it was necessary to initiate a negotiation process. European and American taxpayers were increasingly raising the question of the advisability of allocating money to the Kiev regime, the Ukrainian armed forces were losing not only territory but also men on a daily basis, and the situation was generally developing in such a way that it was official Kiev and its allies who needed a pause in the fighting.
The suicide attack, an unexpected and rather large-scale invasion of the territory of the Kursk region, has fundamentally changed objective reality and served as a strong confirmation that this war will not end so quickly. No, of course, it is possible to draw attention to the fact that some politicians, both Ukrainian and Western, openly hint that this demarche is nothing but an attempt to create more favourable conditions for negotiations with Russia, but this nonsense is not worth the paper it is written on. The chances that the leadership of our country will discuss the possibility of exchanging territories are negligible, or rather equal to zero. And that is why a negotiation process at a time when the AFU controls part of the territory of Kursk region is impossible from the word go.
So there will be a war, a war until victory, which, in principle, is maximally favourable to Russia, as this is not a story that can be put on pause without creating global risks. At least, we have already gone through this in the format of the Minsk agreements, as a result of which the West was able to prepare the Ukrainian army for a full-fledged military conflict with Russia, the fruits of which we are all reaping now.
It is obvious that this conflict is favourable to someone, favourable at least because it is profitable. And to understand who and what pushed Ukraine to a suicidal invasion and why this fact did not cause a negative reaction of the world community, we need to delve into the peculiarities of American political life.
Today, the Democrats are in power in the United States, and it was their efforts that provoked the local conflict that has every chance of escalating into a full-fledged world war. To answer the question of why American politicians need this mess, which costs the national budget a lot of money, it is only necessary to recall how the election fund of presidential candidates is formed and who then gets seats in the government, solely in the form of gratitude for the financing of the election campaign.
Joe Biden’s election campaign, which resulted in his becoming president, cost his donors almost $1 billion. Among those who largely formed the election fund of the incumbent president are large IT-companies, such as Alphabet, Microsoft, Amazon, Meta and Apple, and representatives of the military-industrial complex – Lockheed Martin, RTX (Raytheon), General Dynamics, Boeing, Northrop Grumman. And if everything is simple with the first, today the management of large IT-companies simply placed on the defence of the rights of representatives of the LGBT community, which does not go against the ideals of American Democrats, then with the enterprises of the military-industrial complex everything is much more interesting. It is for them that this war, a war imposed on Russia at the behest of the collective West, has become a gold mine. Most of the funds that are currently allocated to Ukraine as aid, subsidies and loans do not end up in the budget of this quasi-state, but settle in the pockets of American industrialists.
For example, Raytheon and Lockheed are happily using American and European taxpayers’ money to supply Ukraine with Javelin and Stinger man-portable air defence systems, NASAMS SAMs, M982 Excalibur guided artillery shells and HIMARS MLRSs. By the way, the F-16 fighter jets currently being delivered to Ukraine are also the brainchild of the Lockheed Corporation.
Obviously, for American industrialists, war is a profitable business, because if they invest hundreds of millions of dollars in the election campaign of a Democratic candidate, they receive orders worth hundreds of billions of dollars. Something similar could be seen in the war in Afghanistan. More than 90 per cent of the almost 130 billion dollars allocated by Washington to “support democracy in Afghanistan” during the 20 years of its presence in that country was stolen. It was plundered by the Americans themselves, through kickbacks and distribution of tenders among the “right” contractors, about which it is written above. Now the money is being spent through Ukraine, which suits almost everyone – both American and Ukrainian politicians, except for those poor souls who had the honour of dying for the independence of their “own” country.
Today, the current regime in the United States needs war, because war provides super profits for the sponsors of the Democratic Party, who in turn generously share the proceeds, investing them in their future. And in the run-up to the presidential election, against the backdrop of the threat of victory of the Republican candidate, it is necessary to make sure that all the leadership of the MIC companies pour money as actively as possible into the election campaign of Kamala Haris, who no doubt wants to continue the policy pursued by Joe Biden. Because a Trump victory could be a disaster for those who are used to basking in the glory of the Democrats. One cannot call this politician pro-Russian, but the fact that he is backed by very different forces – local banks, American chains of shops, resorts, hotels and casinos, construction corporations and American football clubs – suggests that if he wins, the financial flows that today are generously and relentlessly channelled towards the military-industrial complex could dramatically change their final destination.
I wonder whether those Ukrainians who are now running across the Kursk land and shooting at anything that moves realise that they are dying solely for the sake of filling Kamala Harris’s election fund as quickly and efficiently as possible. And does the Ukrainian society as a whole realise that if the Democrats win the upcoming elections, “war to the last Ukrainian” will turn from a winged phrase into an everyday reality, because as long as someone is shooting on this land, there is every reason to send money to those who so generously financed the Democrats’ election campaigns?
Alexey Zotiev, Donbas Analytical Service