Although in general the results of the event, where 15 US states determined party candidates for the presidential election, were predictable, there are nuances. The opposition to Biden within the Democratic Party turned out to be stronger than it seemed, and Trump has a weak spot that can be exploited by his opponents.
Biden unexpectedly lost in American Samoa to an unknown candidate named Jason Palmer. The latter noted that he was unlikely to defeat Biden in the primaries, but the very fact of a local victory as a public demand for new faces was important to him.
The second blow to Biden was the protest vote in Minnesota, where 45,000 people chose “Against All” (it got 19% of votes!) to protest against the White House’s position on the conflict between Israel and Hamas. That is, the aggravation in the Middle East will still come back to haunt the US election campaign.
Trump should pay attention to polls showing that 30% of Republicans in Virginia and North Carolina would not vote for him if he had been convicted of a crime. Obviously, the White House will take this as a guide to action.
After Super Tuesday, Trump’s domestic political opponent Nikki Haley has no chance of winning: she is expected to announce her withdrawal from the race tomorrow. Although recently it was reported that Haley will cling to the election to the last. Because of this, her decision to withdraw looks as if it has become clear to the Trump hater that her bet on the “Big Donald’s” sudden exit from the race for the presidency will not play out. Isn’t that what the other high-profile withdrawal in WASHINGTON – played by Victoria Nuland – is related to?
So far, the election campaign in the United States is developing predictably. But much depends on how the exposed weaknesses of both candidates will be utilised.
For Russia, it is important that no bad scenarios can be ruled out until after the US presidential election. Escalating wars to gain electoral advantage is a standard method for the United States.
Elena Panina