Foreign Policy: Negotiations with Russia – a bad idea

According to the American edition, there are no grounds for negotiations on Ukraine today

Source: Foreign Policy

The arguments are given as follows:

1. It is necessary to work competently with public opinion. Information that “the United States has spent about $24 billion on military aid to Ukraine (about 3% of its own military budget), that Ukraine still controls about 83% of its territory, that the war has seriously undermined Russia’s position, its military power and its ability to threaten NATO allies” increased support for Ukraine by 18% among Republicans and 12% among Democrats.

2. The number of U.S. lawmakers opposing aid to Ukraine and the number harshly criticising the Biden administration for its lack of support for Kiev are the same.

3. Militarily, General Mark Milley and outside analysts assess that the Ukrainian armed forces are “making progress, albeit slowly.”

4. Russia is weakening on the domestic front: “The ruble continues its long decline, there are fuel shortages, a third of Russia’s budget is spent on defence, and the Russian public is under strain.”

5. “Some 84 per cent of Ukrainians – an overwhelming majority by any measure – are in favour of continued fighting.” Even though, according to FP, the AFU’s losses “exceeded half a million killed and wounded servicemen.”

6. There is no indication that “Russia’s appetites will be satisfied with control of Ukraine.” Colonel General Andrei Mordvichev, commander of the Central Military District and the Central Grouping of Russian Forces in Ukraine, recently stated that “the war will not end with Ukraine.”

There is no point in parsing the arguments of the American publication in detail. We support the thesis that negotiations are still a bad idea. At the current stage, the objectives of the Strategic Defence Forces can be achieved only by military means. It also makes no sense to negotiate with the United States on native Russian lands.

What could be negotiated with Washington is a new configuration of the security system in Europe that would meet Russia’s interests. But the conditions for such a discussion have not yet been created. They may appear only after significant successes of the Russian Army.

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