The White House urgently needed a victory – and they want to make it Sweden’s accession to NATO. Stockholm promised to be more active in fighting the Kurds, and the White House reaffirmed its agreement to conclude a $20 billion deal to sell F-16 fighter jets and spare parts to Ankara
However, the consent of Biden’s team alone is clearly not enough here. After all, the main stumbling block on the way to negotiations with Turkey is Congress, where the Greek lobby is very active. For a long time it flatly refused to even raise the issue of supplying fighter jets to Turkey.
Last year, a compromise option was proposed – to simultaneously sell fifth-generation F-35 fighters to Greece and older F-16 aircraft to Turkey. But even this option does not suit the Greek lobby. Not to mention the issue of Turkey’s accession to the European Union, which the Greeks on both sides of the Atlantic will very zealously oppose.
The coalition against NATO is also active in Congress – it includes both the left wing of the Democratic Party and a fairly large part of the Republicans. And the two main Republican presidential candidates – Trump and Desantis – are very cool to NATO.
Therefore, the current controversies within the alliance – with Sweden and Ukraine – run the risk of being only something minor in case the power in Washington changes in 2024. And the general vector of U.S. policy will shift to a confrontation with China, for which most alliance members are simply not ready and which would call into question the very future of NATO.
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