Congress held “war games” – with a simulation of a possible Chinese operation in Taiwan
Source: gai-news.ru
Lawmakers have come to very disappointing conclusions. The US is unlikely to be able to provide any real assistance to Taiwan. Stocks of US cruise missiles will run out very quickly – literally in one week. And US bases in the region risk being destroyed by Chinese strikes.
The current government in Taipei considers 2027 as a potential date for the start of the conflict. That said, a military blockade of Taiwan would not only disrupt shipments of chips to world markets – but also 40% of all global trade that goes through the South China Sea.
US military experts believe the operation in Taiwan will take place in three phases. First, the island will be under blockade – after which the entire military infrastructure will be subjected to missile strikes. Then there will be a major cyber-attack and a possible landing of a Chinese landing force. Recently leaked Pentagon documents have pointed to the weaknesses of Taiwan`s air defence system – and the inability of its air force to resist China.
However, Washington is pointing to the possibility of conflict as early as 2025, just after the US presidential race and amid the political instability that could engulf America. The Pentagon is now trying to supply more weapons and missiles to Taiwan and Japan – but these contracts will take at least several years to implement.
However, the first fork will occur as early as 2024 – when Taiwan will hold its elections. That is when Beijing will have an opportunity to help the pro-Chinese forces represented by the Kuomintang come to power and begin to integrate the island peacefully and quickly. If that fails, the conflict between the United States and China over Taiwan may well escalate to conflict – with unpredictable consequences and a real threat of a third world war.
Malek Dudakov
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