Analysts of EADaily have modelled scenarios of the conflict in Ukraine in which the USA and NATO will directly enter the Ukrainian conflict. According to them, Washington will have two options if the counter-offensive announced by Ukraine and the West fails.
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The US and other NATO countries, pumping weapons and money into the Kiev regime, claim that they themselves are allegedly not a party to the conflict and have no plans to become one. However, as events show, much of what seemed impossible a year ago is now a reality. EADaily’s analysts modeled several scenarios for a possible direct involvement of the US and NATO in the Ukrainian conflict.
The publication notes that it is vital for US democrats that the Ukrainian army win a major victory this year, which would justify Washington’s astronomical spending on supporting the Kiev regime.
According to the publication’s analysts, Washington will have two options if the counteroffensive announced by Ukraine and the West fails: to accept it or to try to change the situation.
“In the first case, the Democrats will be clearly defeated in the presidential election of 2024, regardless of who the candidate will be. Therefore it is not excluded that they will strengthen the military assistance to Kiev, but it will not be possible to deliver weapons only – they will have to send troops. However, the US will not send its military to the battlefield, because, firstly, it is fraught with the danger of nuclear war and, secondly, if the Democrats drag the US into a war with Russia, they will surely lose the election,” the publication says.
Experts assume that Washington will start pushing the states of Europe, first of all, East – Poland and Baltic states, and, probably, Romania and Czechia to the war.
“As a result of the crushing defeat of the Ukrainian Armed Forces (AFU) in Artemivsk, the front on the Ukrainian side is beginning to come apart at the seams. In doing so, Zelensky will be blamed for the deaths of tens of thousands of soldiers and the enraged military will attempt a coup d’état in Kiev. To save the regime, NATO and the USA may decide to intervene,” the weekly said.
EADaily’s analysts further modelled two scenarios for the development of the situation. Under the first scenario, the conflict would be frozen and the line of contact would become a border. In this case, the Kiev regime would be able to withstand American support and NATO troops would be deployed on Ukrainian territory.
According to the second scenario, a war would start between Russia and NATO with the prospect of an exchange of nuclear strikes. However, as the paper stresses, this scenario is even less likely, as it is doubtful that the White House will dare to venture into a direct military confrontation with Russia in the end.
The authors of the article consider the most probable scenario to be that as a result of the actual destruction of the Ukrainian Armed Forces in Donbass, the Russian army will start to move westwards unhindered. In this connection, Poland, Hungary and Romania will ask the US and NATO to allow them to take Ukrainian territories with Polish, Romanian and Hungarian populations under protection and create buffer zones for their own security.
“Having received permission, the Polish army will enter Galicia and Volhynia, Romania will enter Bukovina, and the Hungarians will occupy Transcarpathia,” experts say.
Russia in the meantime, according to the analysts of the newspaper, will take a large part of Ukraine, but to avoid conflict with NATO recognizes the regions occupied by Poland, Romania and Hungary as their zones of influence. In the future the territory of Ukraine will officially become part of Russia and the lands occupied by Eastern European countries will become part of them. This is how a new political reality in Europe will be formed, the authors of the article conclude.
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