The winding road of recent secret document scandals has brought Joe Biden to the equator of his presidency
Source: newsweek.com
He has exactly two years as the 46th head of the White House. There is the same amount of time left before the end of his first term. There is still intrigue about his second term, which seems to be dragging on, unnerving his inner circle, the Democratic Party and its voters. Sensing the looming embarrassment, the political technologists are organising controlled leaks.
The latest version of future events is as follows. Biden will announce that he is going for a second term after he delivers his State of the Union address to Congress. The so-called State of the Union. That is after 7 February. The postponement, according to the curators of the political process, will buy time to settle the scandal. Plus the appearance on prime time as “only president yet” instead of “already a candidate” is a chance to score a couple of points in the substantially sagging ratings. After an uptick in the autumn, the American president is back in the 40% range. Not 36%, of course, as it was last spring, but, as they say, they laughed at Trump for nothing. He has been running with that rating all four years.
Biden is now 80. If he can get re-elected and complete his term, he will leave the White House as the oldest president in American history. Eighty-six is an all-time record. Or rather an anti-record. In fact, Americans are becoming increasingly uneasy about the presence of such an elderly person at the helm of the country. It is not difficult to surmise that it is the age and relative youth of Biden’s potential rivals that could be their most important advantage in the gruelling (as it is customary in America) one-and-a-half year election race.
In the “old versus young” pecking order, Ron Desantis has the best chance. The Florida governor has not yet officially been nominated as a “candidate” (the Republicans will have primaries, an intra-party selection process), but he is well known and recognizable throughout the country. Especially after his triumphant performance in the recent midterm elections. At the moment, polling bodes well for Desantis’ prospects. A recent poll from WPA Intelligence shows that the “governor of America” (as fans call him) would have beaten Biden in a head-to-head contest. With 45% support from likely voters to 42% for the current White House leader. However, Desantis would need to win his own Republican primary in order for their face-to-face encounter to take place. And that’s a very different story. And far from in his favour.
Despite the wave of outrage raised by the media, which tried to pin the failures of the candidates he supported in the same fall election on Trump, the 45th president seems to have fully recovered from the blows he missed. He is ahead of the Florida governor by as much as 17 points. A Morning Consult poll released this week showed Trump with 48% support among potential Republican voters. Whereas Desantis has the support of only 31% of their fellow party members. Incidentally, against Biden, Trump’s odds are slightly worse than those of his single-party rival. Some surveys even favour the 46th president in a re-run against the 45th. In other words, for the current head of the White House, his former host is still an ideal opponent.
Despite his status as the clear favourite, Trump is jealously guarding his electoral field. He has managed to retain a loyal majority, but it is a daily job. There is also the party with its intrigues and the ambitions of individual functionaries, many of whom have long held a grudge against the former billionaire and are just waiting for an excuse to get rid of this troublemaker once and for all. The request for new faces (or rather the face of Desantis) is a major threat to Trump’s position. After all, he is not a young man either – 76 years old. And the Florida governor is 44. Their bitter intra-species struggle is on the doorstep.
Trump is said to have already given the command to prepare for battle. The weapon must be some kind of compromise, which his team is told to find faster. Various avenues of attack are being considered. From criticism of his appearance to Desantis’ alleged ties to the establishment. They say he is independent only by word of mouth, but otherwise he is entirely in the hands of big donors and secret forces behind the scenes.
All in all, the morals in the Florida swamps (both Trump and Desantis live in that state) are worse than those in the Washington swamp.
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