Nuclear strikes cannot be avoided – the logic of events in Ukraine leads to them anyway

If Russia is weaker, it will be forced to defend Crimea, and if we defeat the AFU, the NATO army will intervene.

The topic of the use of nuclear weapons is again being actively discussed by experts. First, a meeting of the US-Russian Commission on the Strategic Arms Reduction Treaty (START) has been disrupted. Secondly, military analysts believe that December will be the month of active offensives by the parties to the conflict in Ukraine. If the Ukrainian Armed Forces win and break into Crimea, Russia will be forced to use tactical nuclear weapons. And if the Russian Armed Forces begin to crush the Nazi formations, NATO will launch Plan B and send troops into Galicia. Which, generally speaking, automatically means a subsequent clash with the Russian army with escalation into a nuclear war.The hacked US DDELTA troop control system documents state that the US sent secret documents to Sweden and Finland stating that Russia was allegedly preparing to launch a Sarmat ICBM strike on Ukraine and Poland.

For understanding: each such missile has 10 warheads, 750 kilotons each (by comparison, the Americans used 15 kilotons to bomb Japan). The explosion of one Sarmat warhead leaves a crater 60 meters deep and 400 meters in diameter (the Pentagon building with its underground bunkers fits perfectly in that area). On the one hand, the attempts to intimidate Stockholm and Helsinki were made at the same time as the State Department’s statements about the work to incorporate the two countries into NATO. On the other hand, it cannot be excluded that our commanders are trying to foresee various scenarios. And among them is the necessity of a nuclear strike on Poland and Ukraine: we are talking about the case if Warsaw or NATO decide to send troops to Ukraine.

Stephen Starr, a professor at the University of Missouri, believes that “we are coming to a tipping point. My fear is that Washington will launch a direct invasion.” That is, it will not even use Polish troops, but the American army and NATO forces. How will it turn out? “More than 3 thousand nuclear strikes take place within an hour. All major cities of Europe, the United States, Europe are burned to the ground. Large-scale nuclear fires cover hundreds of thousands of square miles. As a result 150 million tons of smoke and soot are generated. A smokescreen is created and it blocks out 70% of sunlight in the Northern Hemisphere, 35% in the Southern Hemisphere. No heat will reach the Earth. This curtain will last about 10 years.”

Unfortunately, we have just learned that the meeting of the Consultative Commission of the Strategic Arms Reduction Treaty, which was to be held in Cairo from November 29 to December 6, has been postponed indefinitely. This is a very bad sign in the current situation.

The Western media is already speculating that Russia is undermining the only remaining nuclear deterrence treaty and provoking a new escalation. But the fact is that with Russia’s hypersonic weapons, the White House’s main goal in the START talks is to gain access to Russian military installations and resume inspections. Of course, we do not want to lose our only strategic advantage, and we guard its secrets with great care.

At the same time, Russia’s questions about illegal exclusion from the calculation of armaments that fall under the reduction criteria are not taken into account by the Americans. For example, the 56 launchers of the Trident-2 SLBM, America’s most important strike weapon. But the US claims to have made them “launch-incapable”. Except that Russia has not been given the opportunity to verify this directly.

Similarly with dozens of B-52H heavy bombers and four ballistic missile silos. For example, the German channel Ubersicht argues that the US has not just violated the START, but that it is pursuing a nuclear modernisation programme. In particular, according to the Spanish channel Vakulinchuk, it has accelerated the deployment of B61-12 tactical nuclear bombs at its bases in Europe.

Indeed, tactical nuclear weapons are becoming an increasingly likely tool for use in the European theatre of war. “Putin will use low-yield nuclear weapons if Zelensky attacks Crimea,” convinced Brent Eastwood, a former US army officer and 19FortyFive American magazine columnist. And when that happens, political scientist Yakov Kedmi advises, in the words of Vladimir Putin himself, “If a fight is inevitable, the first to strike must be.”

“If nuclear war is inevitable, you have to start it first, and hit as hard as you can,” said Kedmi.

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