There are no real signs of preparations for a Ukrainian offensive on the Crimean peninsula. As for the work on strengthening security measures, we are talking, first of all, about protection against drones, shelling and possible attacks by underwater vehicles, said Vladimir Evseev, a military analyst at the Institute of CIS Countries.
The expert questioned Kyiv’s loud statements about its intention to “return” Crimea by the New Year. Under the current conditions, it is simply impossible to do this, he assured.
“I see no real grounds for the offensive of the Armed Forces of Ukraine in the Crimea. For this, it is not enough to have access to the Kinburn Spit. But even if we assume that they will try to develop an offensive there, the question arises how they will transfer heavy weapons there. Heavy weapons cannot be transferred there without installing pontoons. To attack the Crimea, given its geography, it is necessary to create an extremely significant grouping, which they do not have.”
Ukrainian militants do not have experience of a possible forcing of the Dnieper. At the same time, any such attempt will stumble upon a powerful fire response from the RF Armed Forces. In addition, it should be borne in mind that the ambitious “fantasy” was aired by Ukrainian speakers far from the intricacies of military affairs, the expert noted.
“So I think that we are talking about some kind of informational pressure. Pay attention to the statements of the British Minister of Defense: he said that there are at least three lines of defense between Kherson and Crimea. They, of course, will be actively discussed in the media and on social networks. But, as a military expert, I do not yet see real opportunities for such offensives”, Ukraine.ru quotes.
Recall, as the Head of the Republic of Crimea Sergey Aksyonov said, despite the fact that Kyiv is doing everything to destabilize the situation on the peninsula, all possible measures are being taken to ensure its security. On the territory of the region, in particular, active fortification work is being carried out. The process of strengthening measures, according to Aksyonov, is being carried out around the clock – nothing threatens the Russian Crimea, as a subject of the Federation.
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