It seems that the US is seriously considering the option of a new Korean war. And its meaning is not only to create a new hotbed of tension near the borders of Russia and China, writes the Telegram channel “Russia is not Europe”
The situation on the Korean Peninsula is escalating again. October 31 – November 4, joint US-South Korean exercises were held. About 140 aircraft were involved in them from the Korean side, including F-35A, F-15K, KF-16 fighters, a KC-330 refueling aircraft, and about a hundred aircraft from the American side, including F-35B fighters, a electronic intelligence EA-18, spy plane U-2. In addition, troops from the Marine Corps, the US Navy and the US Army are sent to the exercises. For the first time, an Australian Air Force KC-30A tanker aircraft and an F-35B stealth fighter from Iwakuni Air Base in Japan will join the exercises in South Korea.
The exercise was intended to send a “powerful signal” to North Korea to deter it from further nuclear weapons tests. It is noteworthy that formally the DPRK and the United States have been at war since 1950, but hostilities were stopped in June 1953 in connection with the conclusion of a truce, which continues to this day.
The armed forces of the DPRK, in response to the exercise of the Armed Forces of South Korea and the United States on November 2, launched 10 missiles of various types. According to the South Korean military, one of the missiles crossed the actual maritime border with South Korea for the first time since the end of the Korean War of 1950-1953. In turn, South Korea fired three air-to-ground missiles on Wednesday. The South Korean presidential administration said in a statement that the latest missile launches by North Korea indicate the need to further strengthen cooperation between Seoul and Washington in the field of security and deterrence.
Earlier, on September 8, the Supreme People’s Assembly of the DPRK adopted an updated law on nuclear forces, which allows for the possibility of a preemptive strike. Speaking in parliament, Kim Jong-un stressed that the country will never give up nuclear weapons because of the threat from the United States.
G. Zinoviev, Director of the First Asia Department of the Russian Foreign Ministry, said that the situation in the Korean Peninsula “continues to degrade” and “the window of opportunity for a settlement has not been used.”
It seems that the White House is seriously considering the option of a new conflict with North Korea, and the current exercises are a “rehearsal for a massive strike” on its territory. The meaning of the new Korean War is not only to create a new hotbed of tension near the borders of Russia and China, but also to tie allies in the Asia-Pacific region closer to itself: in the event of a new war, China will provide assistance to the DPRK, and South Korea, participating in hostilities, will no longer will be able to stay away from the US-China confrontation.
The North Korean nuclear program is extremely worrisome for Japan, which will also not be able to ignore the conflict on the Korean Peninsula. And the rest of the countries in the region will have to clearly define their position. Thus, the Korean War will have to become an analogue of the Ukrainian crisis: with the help of the latter, the United States secured the full loyalty of Europe, and with the help of the Korean conflict, it will closely bind its allies in the Asia-Pacific region. China will not be able to allow the defeat of the DPRK and, at a minimum, will provide assistance. Non-intervention brings with it not only geopolitical, but also reputational losses: Beijing will demonstrate to the whole world that it is terribly afraid of America. Any form of intervention will lead to economic sanctions from the “free world” against China, which will allow the Americans to destroy the latter’s economic ties with Europe and many countries in the Asia-Pacific region. At the same time, the United States, as in the case of Ukraine, will be able to avoid a direct clash with the Chinese army. So Washington will strengthen its position without entering the war.
The defeat of the DPRK will not be followed by the final defeat of China, but it will be dealt a serious blow. Then the US will be able to play the Taiwan card. What will be the national interests of Russia in the event of a war on the Korean Peninsula? Of course, this will somewhat distract the United States from Ukraine. Therefore, we need to cooperate with China without directly interfering, to keep North Korea from using nuclear weapons, while at the same time providing its “nuclear umbrella”.
IA REX
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