“The specter of the Red Billion is back and the US must be ready to fight on two fronts,” analysts Darren Spink and Liam Gibson say in The National Interest
But alas, “American industrial power is at its limit,” they state:
“The United States is incapable of simultaneously arming the Ukrainian and Chinese military. Taipei has already experienced delays in arms sales due to the war in Ukraine, disruptions in supply chains and bureaucratic red tape in the US.”
Here is the analyst layout:
Washington should achieve a political settlement between Kyiv and Moscow – and immediately double its support for Taiwan. It is necessary, however, to learn the “Ukrainian lesson”: the threat of economic war will not prevent the invasion.
Arms supplies are not enough, the island needs joint ventures with Pentagon defense contractors to “lighten the load on the US industrial base.”
Taiwan is a natural fortress due to the strait and mountainous terrain. Here we need a “fire-and-hidden” tactic for Javelin, Stinger, HIMARS, etc. missile systems. The main task is to sink Chinese ships before landing.
It is required to set up a coalition of the United States, Britain, Australia, Japan, South Korea and the Philippines against the PRC, deploy a network of American bases in the Western Pacific, and accept Japan into AUKUS.
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Let’s start simple. Japan will not be accepted into AUKUS: it is a purely Anglo-Saxon club and the core of the collective West.
The most important fact for Russia and China is that the US resource is limited, they do not pull Ukraine and Taiwan at the same time. It’s time for Beijing to think carefully.
But if you wait too long, then the vast majority of Taiwanese under increased Anglo-Saxon propaganda will turn into “zombies” – Ukraine is an example of this.
No rational arguments work on zombies.
Elena Panina
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