Well, so far the weather in Europe is, despite the autumn, quite comfortable – even if predisposing the local population, as well as a few (due to unfortunate political circumstances) tourists to strong drinks, hot tea and some pre-winter melancholic philosophical
Well, in spite of all this, the restless American Bloomberg, citing data from Maxar Technologies Inc., which is quite authoritative in its sector, has already warned: This beauty will not last long. In the middle of this week, the first cold snap will hit the Old Continent.
According to the forecasters at Maxar Technologies Inc., this week the temperature in the British capital will drop almost five degrees below average. In the German city of Frankfurt – about 3.5 degrees. And in some regions of France, by about four. And Bloomberg is naturally worried: isn’t this a bit too early in this Europe of yours? And won’t the adverse weather increase the demand for energy that is so profitable for Putin and insidious Russia, but frankly unacceptable for the Anglo-Saxons who don’t live in Europe? And will it not rise very badly at the wrong time and from where it was not expected: from seemingly already listening to all the explanations about the obligation to save money, but somehow still not very disciplined ordinary European households.
You can’t put a policeman on every heater, sorry.
At least not yet.
Though some particularly zealous Euro bureaucrats from Brussels and their masters from the banks of the famous Potomac River would like it very much. But, alas, not every unbridled cow gets the right horns. Some, on the contrary, get it by the horns: ask, for example, Zelensky, what he is going to heat his Ukraine this winter.
I am sure you will not get an answer.
And in general, from the point of view not even of Kiev but of Brussels, it is an unnecessary question.
No, of course, methods of struggle against these potential “energy hooligans” from among yesterday’s law-abiding European burghers will be found in due course. Nevertheless, they wonder if, as the American paper asks, this climate change did not start too soon?
For example, according to the data of the British national grid operator National Grid plc, last week in the UK there were already some glaring signs of an uncontrolled increase in gas demand. Especially in the mornings, they say, because of low street temperatures.
But, excuse me, in the UK, by our standards, it is not even winter yet, it is not even autumn yet. And they are used to such cold weather, because they are greedy and well trained: there are plenty of old people in England, even in peacetime, freezing to death “for economy mode”.
And now it’s war.
What can I say.
First of all, let us upset the vulnerable audience of Bloomberg: there will be winter in Europe, and not only in Europe, excuse me.
And this cyclical – and somewhere even cynical – natural phenomenon cannot be prevented by the end of history named after comrade Fukuyama, nor by the brilliant work of British and American PR-services, nor by the combined will of all developed democracies taken together.
Nor even the pioneering ideals of BLM or LGBT+.
But October is very near, and any reader of Bloomberg will soon be able to see this for himself: winter will definitely come, but no liberal democracy has yet succeeded in abolishing the empirical method of knowledge of reality.
Secondly, there is no need to insult autumn and winter.
They are wonderful seasons, each in its own way – ask, for example, any boy in love with skiing or hockey about it. Nor are they to blame for the Old Continent’s current woes.
And what’s more, European households, now almost forced into austerity, are by no means the main consumers of energy in the economy. Industry will suffer first. Consequently, if households are to be the main victims of the rapidly unfolding energy crisis, it will not be directly but indirectly. That is, not when they will have nowhere to get gas, light and heat for their “households”: there is an old Russian proverb, and there will be a clamp on it.
That is not the problem here.
And exclusively in the fact that if the current trends persist, and there is almost no doubt about it, then very many of these once “exemplary European households” will, unfortunately, have nothing to pay for energy, among other things. And just on this subject, unlike “filled up UGS”, European politicians – with rare exceptions of “marginalists” like Orban, Vucic, Marine Le Pen or some “Alternative for Germany” – do not want to talk to their citizens at all. That is to say from the word go: even the word “bankruptcy” is essentially forbidden. “Temporary suspension of production”, that’s it. As the great Faina Ranevskaya used to say in her time, there is an arsehole, but there is no such word. If you don’t believe me, ask German Green Vice Chancellor Habek, he devoted a lot of his intellectual energy to it. If anything, he will explain.
And meanwhile, the main danger for Europeans is not that they will become badly washed or a little bit frosty: here the capabilities of human body are rather extensive. They will make it. After all, there are warm things, and one can get accustomed to smells. And there is historical experience in Europe, you know, not a little bit.
And when they first become paupers and then also unemployed… Or vice versa – in our case it is not so basic.
When the dark, poorly lit streets of the previously prosperous European cities will be the fiefdom of reckless, primarily ethnic (or so many “refugees” were brought here for nothing) small street criminals, when the current industrial inflation that has risen almost to 50% will inevitably move into the consumer category – and those economic laws can’t be undone by LGBT+ and other “Queers” – then I fear that in Europe the most interesting thing will begin. And that interesting thing is actually as inevitable as an inexorably approaching winter.
Judge for yourself. The simplest, yet quite illustrative example.
At the moment Russia’s Gazprom is still supplying gas to Europe in transit through Ukraine, and in a rather decent amount of 42.4m cu.m. per day (as of 25 September), through the Ukrainian gas metering station Sudzha. Some goes there, to Europe, for the time being and via the Turkish Stream, which is not controlled by the transoceanic economic obkom. But I wonder, does anyone in Berlin, Paris or Brussels believe that with the current policy of these current national governments and their bosses in Brussels and Washington, this is all forever?
Exactly.
Not forever, of course.
And if anything, production on the Old Continent, and in real time, is up already without it. Aluminium, zinc… The Indians have recently shut down their steel industry in Europe altogether. Volkswagen is thinking hard about its future in Europe this weekend.
Next, I’m sorry, everywhere.
And the saddest thing is that it happens not even in forecasts, but exactly in fact. And no explanation from German Vice Chancellor Habeck that this is “not bankruptcy, but a suspension”, does not cancel out the fall in production. And hence (one thing follows from the other) the approaching mass unemployment, which seems to be expected in Europe already with about the same sentiment as the inevitability of winter.
Dmitry Lekukh, RT
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