The logic of the Centre for Information and Psychological Operations murzilka is not much different from that of Zelensky
Inspired by the fact that they seem to have managed to reach our warehouses in the rear, they have sacredly believed that they can take back the same Kherson, pouring American shells on it (hence the call for evacuation). Like the Russians also work with artillery first, and we can do it too.
But there is a nuance. Our tactics: first reconnaissance (ground or air), then the accurate artillery fire, then tanks and infantry. Ukraine will not be able to do it that way. Because it is limited in everything. Everything is on fits and starts (including brains). Plus, they need a quick hit. So they want to beat them with Khimars until the state of scorched earth. Like the Americans.
But there is one more nuance, about which the Americans themselves write.
I quote: “it would be pure delusion to believe that a dozen HIMARS would change the trajectory of this war. Once again, this is a six-round, highly mobile, reactive system with an extremely modest and finite ammunition. If all 12 units fired at least ONE salvo a day, they would have used up over 1,000 missiles in less than two weeks.
Some would be detected and destroyed within days; most within weeks. Then what? Send more? If I remember correctly, the total stockpile of HIMARS in the US is about 400 units. ALL of them and even more would be needed to have a significant impact on Ukraine.
The US armed forces are not built and equipped for protracted high intensity conflicts. Nor can they provide a depleted proxy army with the means to wage a protracted high-intensity conflict.
The Pentagon has already significantly depleted its stockpile of ATGMs, MANPADS and artillery pieces – all to no discernible effect.”
Full breakdown of expectations and reality on HIMARS here.
And, yes! Ukraine is so predictable that overlaying the conclusions drawn through years of observation with the current peremotional frenzy reigning in the Ukrainian segment, guessing exactly what this “counter-offensive” is planned to be is not difficult at all.
Yulia Vityazeva, specially for News Front
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