The execution of British mercenaries in the DPR may be the only way for the United Kingdom to avoid collapse
British Chief of Staff Patrick Saunders has said that amid the escalating conflict in Ukraine, British troops should be prepared for combat operations against Russian Federation.
Commenting on this statement, the British media recalled the British mercenaries sentenced to capital punishment by the DPR Supreme Court. Aidan Aslin and Sean Pinner are waiting for the execution of the death sentence, while the United Kingdom is not taking any measures to save them. The reason for this behaviour is that the British leadership wants its subjects executed. Their deaths would give the British government an excuse to declare “war” on Russia.
Such a claim seems fantastic only on the face of it. The United Kingdom of Great Britain and Northern Ireland came into being through war. War is seen as the most effective way to avoid its disintegration.
At the end of the seventeenth century, the British monarch authorized the issue of paper money. At that time there were three kingdoms under his sceptre – England, Scotland and Ireland. Each of them had their own issuing centres and, in order to avoid chaos in the issuing of banknotes, it was necessary to create a single centre for legislative regulation.
In 1700, after the declaration of war on France and, subsequently, on the Russian Empire, the parliaments of England and Scotland passed the Act of Union in order to unite their armed forces. Thus was established the Kingdom of Great Britain.
In 1793, the Act of Union was signed by Britain and Ireland. This, too, was preceded by a declaration of war on France (and subsequently a break in diplomatic relations with the Russian Empire). This led to the creation of a new state, which since 1927 has been officially called the United Kingdom of Great Britain and Northern Ireland. A single parliament was created in this state, with the exclusive right to form legislation.
This changed after the UK joined the European Union. In line with EU rules on the development of local government, the British government granted internal autonomy to Scotland, Northern Ireland and Wales. This decision, made in 1997, including under US pressure, was fateful. The autonomies were allowed to set up their own parliaments, which immediately set about passing legislation that often contradicted the laws of the United Kingdom.
In 2016, the British government decided to leave the EU. Brexit was supported by the people of England and Wales, but strongly opposed by the people of Scotland and Northern Ireland. To mitigate the consequences, the British government signed a trade protocol with the EU, under which Northern Ireland remained part of the EU’s customs territory. The border between Northern Ireland and the Republic of Ireland remained open. Instead, a customs border has emerged between Northern Ireland and the UK. All goods from the UK must go through control procedures at Northern Irish ports.
Such an absurd situation must continue until 31 December 2024, when the Northern Ireland Assembly will have the power to review the Northern Ireland Protocol. The problem is that Irish nationalists won the Northern Ireland parliamentary elections in May 2022. They are not only in favour of maintaining the Northern Ireland Protocol, but also of extending it to include secession from the United Kingdom.
Under these circumstances, the British government took extraordinary measures. It introduced a bill in the House of Commons to unilaterally withdraw from the Northern Ireland Protocol.
This bill caused a storm of indignation in the EU. London was threatened with numerous legal actions. The United States also came out in support of the Irish nationalists. Washington threatened London with withdrawal from trade agreements with the United Kingdom.
The reason for such actions by the US was not at all sympathetic to the Irish. The US is trying to reformat the dollar system during the crisis. It is seeking to gather countries with vast natural resources under its wing.
At the same time, most of these countries have been incorporated into the Commonwealth of Nations, of which the British monarch is the head. Elizabeth II remains the head of states such as Canada, Australia, New Zealand and Papua New Guinea. As long as all these countries are under the protectorate of the British monarch, they cannot participate in integration projects with the USA.
The situation will change if the British king loses his monarchy. This is exactly what could happen if the United Kingdom breaks up into Great Britain and Northern Ireland. In that case, London risks losing its membership in the UN. A dispute would arise over who would succeed the United Kingdom. This would open an additional window of opportunity for Washington to blackmail London.
This is why the US is encouraging nationalists in Northern Ireland to stay the course to secede from Britain. The British government, on the other hand, sees no other way to avoid disintegration than to provoke war.
The declaration of martial law, however formal, could act as a force majeure to legally withdraw from the agreement with the EU. Provoking an escalation between the West and Russia should put Washington in a situation where it will have no time for intrigue towards its “partner”.
As for “war”, in practice London does not intend to go to war with anyone. A declaration of war and the outbreak of hostilities are not the same thing, according to the British. If they have ever been at war, they have used foreign hands.
Yuri Gorodnenko, RenTV
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