Will the Gagauz in the south and the Russians in the north of Moldova agree to live “according to NATO standards”?
The situation in Moldova is escalating before our eyes. The vague outlines of “uniri” (“unification”), that is, the takeover of the Republic of Moldova (RM) by Romania, a NATO member state, are becoming more and more defined.
On May 24, the media reported that the former president of the republic, a former member of the Party of Communists, then for some time a member of the Party of Socialists, Igor Dodon, was detained by the authorities. During the whole day, a search was carried out in his house, then Dodon was taken away in an unknown direction. Later it became known that the former president of the Republic of Moldova was placed in a pre-trial detention center.
On May 25, Dodon was charged with “high treason” and “passive corruption.” He faces up to 20 years in prison. In Chisinau, protests began in support of the former president, but, as usual, to no avail.
Official Chisinau cannot clearly explain what is Dodon’s fault. As for the vague accusations of “corruption” and “working for Russia”, they have been heard for a long time. No facts sufficient to bring charges against Dodon have been presented to the public during this time. Dodon conveyed through his lawyers that the charges are based on well-known records of his negotiations with the richest man in the republic, the former head of the Democratic Party Vladimir Plahotniuc (in Russia he is a defendant in three criminal cases).
Despite the fact that accusations against Dodon have been heard for several years, Chisinau decided to take on him only now. The authority of the government of Maia Sandu is falling. According to the latest study conducted in May 2022, the aggregate rating of opposition parties that overcome the barrier (Bloc of Communists and Socialists, SHOR) reached 49%, and the parties in power (Action and Solidarity) reached 36.8%. As for the level and quality of life of the inhabitants of Moldova, this picture speaks about it:
Inflation growth in Moldova is a record for the last 22 years. In April, it reached 27%, in the third quarter of 2022 it is expected to reach 31%. Food and energy prices are skyrocketing. The authorities have raised utility tariffs and public transport fares. The regime is trying to attribute the economic crisis to military operations on the territory of Ukraine, but already in 2021, long before the start of the special operation, due to the mediocrity of the government, inflation in Moldova reached 14% (a fifteen-year record).
In this situation, Maia Sandu with her team forces the uniru. In February, a joint meeting of the governments of Moldova and Romania was held, at which the issue of establishing Bucharest’s control over a number of spheres of the political life of the Republic of Moldova, including defense and state security, was discussed. So far, Romania has taken over the training of Moldovan police officers and the reform of the local judiciary.
In May, a joint meeting of the legal and foreign policy commissions of the parliaments of Moldova and Romania took place in Iasi, at which the prospect of “common control” on the border (the first step towards the elimination of the border as such) was discussed.
The preparations for a joint session of the parliaments of the two countries have also been announced.
In parallel, Chisinau appears to have started non-public negotiations with NATO on cooperation. Known for her knowledge of geography, British Foreign Secretary Liz Truss announced that Great Britain, along with other members of the alliance, would like to equip the Moldovan army according to NATO standards.
The scheme has already been developed. On May 25, Romanian MEP Eugen Tomac said that Moldova itself would not become a member of the EU in the next 15-20 years, but could join the European Union, joining Romania.
“The political decision to unite Moldova with Romania remains the safest and fastest way that can be implemented at any time when Moldova wants to discuss the security and future of its citizens,” the MEP announced.
All this means the beginning of the end of the state of the Republic of Moldova. If the repressions against Igor Dodon yield nothing but powerless protests, indignation in Moldova is brewing on soil with a national-ethnic coloring, and from both ends. Residents of the north of the republic (Russian Balti) and the south (Gagauzia) are so opposed to the nationalist pro-Western regime in Chisinau that they are unlikely to agree to live “according to NATO standards”, in the territory intended to enter the zone of responsibility of NATO.
Svyatoslav Knyazev, FSK
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