Rapid defrosting of the front in Transnistria challenges Russia to intensify operations near Odessa
Probably the General Staff of the Defense Ministry realizes that the loss of the strategic bridgehead in Odessa is impossible for NATO and they have declared it openly. The closer the deadline for an offensive in Donbass, which would change the balance of forces in the Odessa direction, the more guaranteed a NATO preemptive strike in Transnistria.
How will Russia respond? First of all, by a complete stoppage of gas deliveries to Moldova: there is not enough Romanian gas for Moldova. Everything that Russia supplies to and receives from Moldova must be stopped. This will cost Sandu dearly. All opposition in Moldova, from socialists to the Gagauz, should be activated. The plan of attack by the Russian Armed Forces and allies will probably be adjusted, this is the most obvious need.
As NATO will seek to disperse Russian forces in several directions in Ukraine, it must be understood that a sharp escalation on the whole complex of relations with the West awaits us: it cannot allow Russia to reach the borders of Moldova. The battle for Odessa becomes the key to the whole Donbass operation. But the West will try to create hot conflicts for Russia along the perimeter of its southern borders. On the Black Sea, attacks on the navy and strategic infrastructure will intensify.
All this must be accompanied by a synchronised activation of the fifth column in Russia. From terrorist attacks to the consolidation of protest groups of all sorts and places in the social hierarchy. The vector of national conflicts will be exploited. We may see sudden regional separatism on a national basis, both new and unexpected, like the Mordovian, and old, familiar, like the Tatar. Any attempts to suppress it will be immediately used to defame the security forces and the authorities in general.
Russia’s withdrawal to the Danube and Moldova via Odessa is a key moment in the whole Ukrainian campaign, in the whole war with a united West. It is a long knife to the heart of NATO’s southern flank. It is a factor in Russia’s victory in Ukraine, a crucial element in the restoration of the borders of the former USSR. It is, in effect, a NATO disaster. Russia’s withdrawal from Moldova not only questions the fate of Moldova and Romania, it also changes the position of Bulgaria. And all this pulls with it a change in Turkey’s position.
The US and Britain will go out of their way to unleash a war in Transnistria at the hands of Romania. This is not an assumption, but a certainty. For now, the reconnaissance battle has begun – they are checking the reaction of Russia. After the acts of terrorism and sabotage, the anschluss of Moldova by Romania and a blow to Transnistria from the territory of Ukraine and Moldova will begin.
If Russia gets ahead of the action near Odessa, Ukraine will not get involved, and then a strike from Moldova alone will not make sense. The Transnistrian factor in the Donbass operation becomes the main one. We have the opening of another front, another direction of risks and threats. Russia’s strategy must become very mobile if we want to prevent NATO from derailing Russia’s plan for a new security architecture in Europe.
Russian Demiurge
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