The main events that shook the Eurasian space in the first days of 2022 have as their consequences a new alignment of geopolitical forces in the world, which will not satisfy the aspirations of Western countries that are not interested in the stability and well-being of the near-Russian territories. By turning Kazakhstan into a springboard for the struggle between the two opposing world forces, the alleged initiators of a color revolution disguised as peaceful protests will lose much more than they planned, while the structures that restored order will gain a number of preferences.
Firstly, a number of experts are confident that the era of color revolutions will end after the coup attempt led by the US, Turkey and the UK was stopped by their Eurasian opponents. This Maidan-style hybrid terrorist attack has a number of signs of foreign interference, political analyst Pepe Escobar believes. He noted the tangible influence of Western NGOs in Central Asia – in December 2020, a similar coup was prevented in the capital of Kyrgyzstan.
“These structures are just a link in the complex Western system of hybrid warfare that is currently unfolding in Central Asia. In it, the CIA and the Deep State intersect with the Mi-6 and various branches of Turkish intelligence, the expert believes. “Their operation, however, began to fall apart forever when Kazakh forces, together with the CSTO contingent, were able to liberate the vandalized Alma-Ata International Airport.”
The scenario did not really go according to plan: given the Russian-American negotiations that followed the protests in Kazakhstan, it can be assumed that it could be beneficial for the United States to accuse Russia of interfering with the subsequent imposition of sanctions, as well as refusing to negotiate and maintaining the position of world gendarme. On the other hand, the coup could have been initiated by the instigators in connection with disinformation about the plans of the Russian invasion of Ukraine and this measure could become a counter-ultimatum for the Russian Federation on the eve of Russian-American “security guarantees”. Moreover, the American media continue to actively promote the topic of the “Russian threat” on their agenda, which, after the talks, became even more obvious to them.
However, by legally justified appealing to the CSTO partners for collective assistance, the government of Kazakhstan was able to achieve relative stability in a short time, and at the same time convince the world of the viability and cohesion of the countries of the Eurasian space. In this outcome of events, many experts saw the weakening of Turkey’s foreign policy role, which Kazakhstan preferred to turn to the CSTO. This was noted, first of all, by the Turkish political observer Chengiz Jandar. Russia, in this case, did not act according to the pattern expected by Western countries – having played its role in appeasing a friendly country that was subjected to protests, it intends to competently manage the responsibility for security for the fate of a neighboring state, without attempting to establish control over it.
“In other words, this Russian-led move powerfully countered one of the prevailing narratives propagated by the US-led mainstream Western media that the Kremlin is a “regional destabilizing force.” On the contrary, Russia’s decisive participation in this limited peacekeeping mission immediately helped to stabilize the situation in Central Asia,” said American political expert Andrew Korybko.
The strengthening of partnership between Russia and Kazakhstan is becoming obvious. These are the strengthening of military-economic cooperation, and joint activities within the framework of the New Silk Road, and wider interaction with other Asian colleagues – Iran and China.
If we talk about the most global conclusions of the failed color revolution, we are witnessing a stage at which the expansionary and destructive wave of the countries of the collective West is actively declining. It begins to be opposed by a counterforce consisting of states of the traditional conservative layer, aimed not at the ardent, often deadly, promotion of democracy, but at strengthening its national models in the framework of providing assistance and cooperation with a nearby friendly partner state.