Kiev and Washington are extremely beneficial to the state of the smoldering conflict in the Donbass, said Polish expert, editor-in-chief of the Social Criticism magazine Jacek Caesar Kaminsky in an interview with News Front.
“I do not think that the authorities in Kiev are currently aiming to provoke Russia into armed intervention. The Kiev regime is well aware that such an intervention would have tragic consequences for it. Probably much further than in the case of the five-day war with Georgia”, the analyst said.
According to Kaminsky, Ukrainian President Volodymyr Zelensky and his team could decide to take such a step only in the event of a complete collapse of the Ukrainian economy. Washington, in turn, is not interested in further escalation of the conflict, as evidenced by the recent statement by US President Joe Biden, who stressed that the United States would not “fight for Ukraine.”
“On the contrary, both Kiev and Washington are interested in maintaining the state of tension in Donbass. Zelenskiy needs this due to the strength of the internal situation in order to maintain a sense of a military threat in Ukrainian society. Thanks to this, he can divert attention from the internal problems of Ukraine, mainly of a socio-economic nature. The United States needs an instrument of pressure on Moscow as part of its global game”, Kaminsky said.
The expert added that Russia’s right to intervene in the conflict between the republics of Donbass and Ukraine is an extremely complex issue. Kaminsky recalled that Moscow does not officially recognize the Lugansk and Donetsk People’s Republics and does not have formal allied obligations to them.
“On the other hand, in the event of such aggression, we would face a crime against peace, as well as a violation of the Minsk agreements, which would give Russia international legal grounds for intervention. But I think that the decisive factor in this case is the right of the Russian Federation to protect its citizens on the territory of the People’s Republics of Donbass, as was the case with South Ossetia in 2008”, the analyst concluded.