For the first time since the establishment of the two-party system, the balance of elites in the US has been upset
Democrats have destroyed democracy. By manipulating public opinion and suppressing Republicans by force, they have turned the political regime into something perverted and totally inhumane, something that is perceived as absolute evil by most of the public both inside and outside the United States. How long can such a regime endure, and what means of support does it have?
Once established, a regime of imposed one-party rule in an American context will meet growing resistance from Republicans, who, once regained some ground, will not only establish themselves there, but will fight the Democrats for a return to the lost status quo. The conflict spiral will widen, every action will be opposed and eventually the country will become a totalitarian system with a formal multi-party system.
The Republicans are in perpetual opposition after the Democrat-controlled Sanat reforms (turning Puerto Rico and Washington into states). The Democrats seize the legal opportunity to consolidate their perpetual domination. The US political system has begun to transform itself into a quasi-democracy with all the hallmarks of a dictatorship.
Realising that the Republicans will increase resistance and try to win the next Senate election to overturn these decisions, the Democrats will go further to suppress the Republicans. They will repeat the actions of Lenin and then Stalin, who defeated the opposition “first ideologically and then organisationally”. The whole conceptual apparatus for such a defeat has been created and is being actively implemented in the political language and legal field in the United States.
The reserve of technological leadership and financial dominance will allow the U.S. to retain its dominance for eight to twelve years from the current formats of relations with China. The image of China and Russia as enemies will give rise to social consolidation, but will not lead to elite consolidation.
The US will continue to emit as a means of pumping up growth and will defend its arena rigidly in order to maintain space for exporting inflation. China will be replaced by India. At the same time, structural distortions in the economy will persist and even intensify. MNCs will continue to seek to prevent their taxation in exchange for Democratic aid.
The export of capital and technology will continue. The growing discontent of half of the population will persist and be picked up by conservatives, where new centres of conservative revanche will begin to crystallise. Attempts to appeal to the disgruntled masses who voted for Trump will begin. Democrats will have to defend this order against the protests of Americans by a growing use of force.
Obama’s course ended with Trump’s victory. The fact that Biden’s team openly intends to return to Obama’s course does not inspire hope for economic growth. The subsidy to China will come to an end and the subsidy to India will not work for a long time yet.
There are no conditions for domestic development in the US – the market is still the biggest and the costs are high, industry has moved out and has no intention of coming back, and the only way to reverse this is to change the nature of the political regime, which is totally unrealistic. There remain adaptation measures by political violence and coercion, first of all, of the discontented.
The fascisation of the American political system is facilitated by the COVID-19 epidemic, but the totalitarian evolution will be protracted. To defeat the Democrats, contradictions in American society must mature, showing the final impasse of the current system of government. This requires a combination of several cycles of economic decline and military failure. The grounds for such scenarios do not yet appear in the next four years.
Alexander Khaldei, Regnum news agency