“You understand, from the point of view of our Jewish interests, I would have to fully support Trump in the elections. But I will vote for Biden – with him the probability of a world war does not seem so high”, – in the voice of the interlocutor there was usually an unusual excitement.
So the author’s question about the mood before the election was answered by an old friend of his who lives in the USA, who in the recent past was not the last person in one of the largest Wall Street structures. He was not the only one in the community who took this view.
This is how the topic on duty for the media began to acquire a personal interest for the author in something else. And indeed: the fate of the multinational Titanic flotilla, for which the sparkle of its summit is still more important than the lights of other beacons, depends critically on the situation in the higher spheres of the visible part of the American power iceberg. And Russia and China have been put “in brackets” for peaceful coexistence, as not corresponding to their “behavior” aspirations of the “civilized” hostel of the sacred “Castle on the Hill”.
Which was stated by Democrat presidential candidate Joe Biden in an interview with CBS on 25 October. In his words, Russia poses a threat to American security, and Beijing is Washington’s main competitor. The fact that this is serious is evidenced by the awakening of “seismic activity” in almost all “pain points” along the perimeter of Russia, and more recently China (riots in Hong Kong, weapons supplies to Taiwan).
The Russian theme itself has already become a familiar and reliable chamberlain in tuning the American electoral process to the desired result. For example, US President Donald Trump told The Rush Limbaugh Show that it would be easier for his Russian colleague Vladimir Putin to conduct international relations with Biden than with him. Although
“I like him. And it is possible that he likes me”, – Trump said speaking about Putin.
Biden, during the first round of the election debate, accused Trump of not being tough enough on the Russian president and called his opponent “Putin’s puppy”. Vladimir Putin himself felt that Biden’s words to Trump raised Russia. And expressed the opinion that Moscow and Washington would have an opportunity to reach an agreement if a Democrat was elected president. That is, despite the rhetoric, the doors for each other are left open by the leaders of the USA (both) and Russia.
All the more so, our countries have much in common. A survey conducted in early summer 2017 by GlobeScan on behalf of the World Air Force Service in 17 countries showed that the influence of Russia and the United States is increasingly being perceived negatively by residents of other countries. For the most part, 49% of those surveyed spoke negatively about both countries. According to the results of the survey, 72% of respondents in the USA admitted their dislike of Russia; only the UK (74%) admitted their dislike more. However, Russians at the time most disliked the USA (64%), while the negative attitude towards the EU was 1.3 times lower – 48%. This is also confirmed by other surveys.
As can be seen from Figure 1, the Levada Center data for May 2017 generally confirm the results obtained by GlobeScan. As of August this year, 46% of Russians surveyed had a bad attitude towards the USA, while 42% had a good attitude. An abnormally positive attitude towards the US was seen in November last year, when positive prevailed over negative attitude towards the US, with a ratio of 47% to 40%.
Since Russia will still be accused of interfering in this presidential election, let us consider data on the electoral preferences of our compatriots according to unrelated opinion polls by the Kommersant newspaper and the TV channel of the editor-in-chief of Ekho Moskvy Alexei Venediktov.
As can be seen from Fig. 2-1, three quarters of the respondents surveyed by Kommersant do not really care what the name of the new American president will be. And of the proposed candidates, the current US leader is almost three times more preferable to them (or simply more familiar).
However, the readers of the Echo of Moscow editor-in-chief’s telegram channel showed the opposite result to Kommersant, giving a preference to Biden (41%) rather than the current US president (36%), even if it was not significant. And the number of people who were indifferent to the topic was three times less (but 23% is still a lot).
According to the American Public Opinion Institute Gallup, as of September 18th Biden was ahead of Trump in “favor ratings” – from 46% to 41%, while candidates’ rivals in the elections are approximately equal.
Senator Kamala Harris, who runs for Vice President of the Democratic Party, is positively assessed by 42% of Americans, while Vice President Mike Penns has a 41% rating. That is – judging by Figure 3 – Republicans Trump and Pence share third place after Democrats Biden and Harris.
The more interesting is the message of the Israeli portal www.7kanal.co.il, namely: as of October 1, most Americans are confident in the victory of the current president in the upcoming November 3 elections over his rival. 56% of Gallup respondents said that they believe Trump will win. This is the opinion of 90% of Republicans, while 73% of Democrats believe that Biden will win.
According to other measurements of the Gallup Institute, Trump’s support among the Republicans on 15 October was 94%, among the “non-partisan” – 35%, among Democrats – 4%. At the same time, a maximum of 90% (94% to 4%) was achieved on such an important indicator as the “difference in support between Republicans and Democrats” (Rep-Dem Gap). It should be noted that the minimum Rep-Dem Gap of a Trump Republican during his presidential career has never dropped below 86%, which was an achievement for Democrat Barack Obama during his presidency (November 4, 2012).
A thoughtful analysis of the data coming from the US shows their dialectical nature. It seems to be highly dependent on the diverse political preferences of the layers of the American “deep people” and the equally “deep state” (Deep State).
Andrey Safonov, REGNUM news agency