When surveys show Joe Biden’s leadership in the popularity rating, the joy of the Democrats is overshadowed by the fact that exactly four years ago Hillary Clinton was preparing to take over the White House with the same positive results
In 2016, the Democrats failed to promote the first woman president, reminds The Washington Post. The results of the vote at the time were unexpected, given Clinton’s ratings. In this regard, American liberals are sadly looking forward to Biden’s defeat.
Even political technologists admit that it is almost impossible to predict the voting results now. Although the polls show support for the Democratic Party candidate, this is only a “snapshot with a built-in error”, and there are still two weeks to go.
“Biden seems to be at its best, but it is still a polarised country and Trump’s victory is still within reach”, – said Nick Gurevich, a partner at Global Strategy Group.
Trump takes advantage of this uncertainty, turning it into a lever of pressure. He himself has always rejected surveys. Although the President’s advisers are less optimistic, they are confident that the President will still be able to narrow the gap with Biden in key states.
“The mainstream media have spent the last four years trying to destroy and defeat President Trump, so why would anyone believe in a vote paid for by the same organisations” , – says Tim Merto of Trump’s campaign headquarters.
The prevailing feeling in Biden’s team is déjà vu, writes WP. Former Vice President’s associate Ed Randall complains that people are used to making “emotionally driven” choices while ignoring logic.
“In terms of emotions, you see how the same scenario evolves over and over again”, – he notes.
Biden campaign manager Jen O’Malley Dillon says that Democrats have no significant advantage and that sociological research is useless when it comes to voting by the electoral college.
“Even the best poll can be wrong, and that variables like turnout mean we are functionally connected in a number of critical states”, – she said.
Four years ago, three weeks before the election, Clinton’s rating went up 12 points in Michigan and 7 points in Pennsylvania and Wisconsin. Trump won in all these states. An advisor from Trump’s headquarters admitted on condition of anonymity that he himself did not believe in his boss’ victory in 2016.
“Now we see what we saw four years ago”, – he said.