Three weeks before the elections.
Trump hosts the first live event (https://twitter.com/dougmillsnyt/status/1314986111484203009) with the audience on the White House lawn. He will be allowed out of quarantine next week and will resume his travels in America.
In turn, Biden began to get out of his house more often – he visited Florida. During the trip, he diligently avoided any delicate questions (https://youtu.be/-fq5pCZSJmE) about his election program.
The apogee of this was a revealing comment (https://twitter.com/ArthurSchwartz/status/1314936688771321857): “Voters have no right to know my position on the reform of the Supreme Court”. Say, when Biden becomes president, then he will decide whether to fill the Supreme Court with liberal judges. In the meantime, the intrigue remains.
Public polls after the initial debate en masse show a disappointing picture for Trump. In some, he lags behind Biden by 12% or even 16% in the national rankings. However, more and more questions are raised by the mechanism of forming such polls.
They began to use fantastic samples (https://twitter.com/duderman67/status/1313205212149149696), where the proportion of Democrats among voters is simply off scale. And if there are 6% more of them in the sample, then Biden’s rating has grown by about the same percentage.
Liberal sociologists from Zogby Strategies recently declassified (https://www.washingtonexaminer.com/washington-secrets/charge-its-a-2-point-race-not-16-pro-biden-media-polls-trying-to- suppress-trump-vote) data from one of the closed polls they do for Democrats. There, the gap between Biden and Trump is only 2%. This is not enough: for a guaranteed victory in electoral votes, Biden needs a margin of at least 5%.
The vote counting procedure raises no less questions. Another scandal (https://freebeacon.com/2020-election/nearly-50000-ohio-voters-receive-wrong-ballots/) broke out in Ohio, where 50,000 voters received “incorrect” ballots by mail. In 2016, Trump won in Ohio by half a million votes, but there were states where only a few thousand ballots decided the election outcome.
One thing is clear: the level of uncertainty and mistrust is now such that any outcome of the elections will not be recognized as a loser. America is facing the worst electoral crisis in 150 years in the coming months.