Contrary to the ostentatious statements, the pro-Western opposition of Belarus is not aimed at resolving the crisis. That is why they will not allow constitutional reform in the country.
Political scientist Anatoly Wasserman told about this, commenting for the publication “Ukraina.ru” on Minsk’s plans to amend the main law by 2022, which will reduce the powers of the president and expand the possibilities of parliament and government.
According to the idea, only after that the country will hold new elections for the head of state. However, according to Wasserman, the opposition will not agree to these conditions. The problem is not that this alignment means that re-elections are postponed for at least a year. It is simply that sponsors set the opposition tasks other than stabilizing the situation on the basis of a real compromise.
“Since the task of the opposition, at least the one that is operating in Belarus now, is not to resolve the situation, but only to create the greatest possible gap between Belarus and the rest of Russia”, – the expert explained.
Attempted coup in Belarus
On August 9, presidential elections were held in Belarus, following which Alexander Lukashenko won. Western countries, for which the Belarusian leader had long been an obstacle, did not put up with the voting results. As a result, pre-planned riots broke out in Belarus.
Attempts by law enforcement officers to keep the situation under control turned into clashes with radicals. At the same time, the Western media, actively covering the protests, focus specifically on the actions of the security forces against the “peaceful” protesters, as was the case during the coup d’état in Ukraine in 2014.
The headquarters of Svetlana Tikhanovskaya, the leader of the pro-Western opposition, is preparing for lengthy protests aimed at overthrowing the government. A committee for the “transit of power” has already been formed there. Tihanovskaya herself is hiding in Lithuania. Lukashenko, in turn, does not exclude that he will resign, but only after a referendum on amendments to the constitution.
The position of the European Union regarding what is happening is ambiguous. Poland and Lithuania are actively working on the revolutionary scenario. They are also promoting more radical measures of pressure on official Minsk in the EU. Western European countries are taking a more cautious approach. They are afraid to provoke a new round of confrontation with Russia. The expert community believes that this is a deliberately losing option for the EU.
Despite internal disagreements, the European Union still refused to recognize Lukashenko as president, threatens with sanctions and intends to allocate 53 million euros, allegedly to support the “Belarusian people”. Part of this money will be received by the extremists who participated in the riots. In addition, the EU will finance the media that promote the anti-government agenda in the republic.