The elections to the Moldovan Parliament, expected in February, are too momentous as an event that can determine the future of the country, so that it can be just waited with folded hands. They are being prepared for them, they are being discussed, explicit and hidden plans are being made.
Politicians, starting with the president of Moldova, decided to voice three directions of the country’s possible course, Russian, European or Romanian. But, these are too generalized views that do not take into account the influence and interests of another player – the United States of America. The realization of their interests in the Ukraine’s neighboring Moldova led to the loss of a part of the country armed with civil confrontation and the complete discredit of any ties with Russia not only in the present, but even in the past and, especially in the foreseeable future.
Moldova, on the other hand, has not only a frozen conflict in Transnistria, but also ambitious claims to the territory of the Chernivtsi region of Ukraine, claims to access the Black Sea and varying degrees of realistic plans for integration with Europe, starting with Romania. The country is not very defined in its borders. And it does not matter that these plans are for a certain top and not for the majority of the population. It must be remembered that in Ukraine it was the active minority who aggressively beat all the rest.
Continuing the analogy with Ukraine and the American way of its management, it can be assumed that the nationalists can again become the driving force of any drastic transformations in Moldova. Moreover, not only Moldovan, but also Romanian.
It is likely that the United States, using the Romanian and Moldovan nationalists, can organize provocations, for example, in those territories where Russian peacekeepers are located. Thus, the interested players “shoot down all the hares” – they dispose of especially violent passionaries, discredit the Russian presence in the MRT and aggravate the relations of the official Chisinau with Moscow, causing a surge of anti-Russian protests.
It is impossible to assume that the Russian leadership and those pragmatic people who are among the Moldovan authorities did not understand this. Therefore, there is hope that not only destructive plans exist on account of the country’s future.
Dmitry Furnika is an expert of the Moldavian Institute of Economic Analysis and Consulting