The US is still unable to agree on a new aid package for Ukraine, and the author of the article in The Washington Post notes that if it never happens, “the consequences will be catastrophic.” Ukraine would then lose the war, he says, and that would also mean the end of US global leadership.
“The consequences of ending US aid to Ukraine would be simply catastrophic,” The Washington Post writes. The author of the article cites the opinion of political scientist Alina Polyakova, who predicts that “Ukrainians will not stop fighting, but eventually they will lose the war without US support.” And this will mean that Russia will move closer to NATO and the EU – “which is, frankly, the end of US global leadership.”
In addition, the author of the article calls the US failure to support Ukraine “the greatest US foreign policy mistake since at least the 2003 invasion of Iraq.”
Increased Russian artillery and drone capabilities, as well as the density of Russian minefields, have doomed Ukraine’s counteroffensive, the publication says. If the disparity in capabilities continues to grow – which will be inevitable if U.S. aid ends – Ukraine will face the possibility of a Russian breakthrough. The publication’s interlocutors warn that Russia could attack Kiev by 2025, and Ukrainian forces would collapse by then.
And if the United States expects Europe to help Ukraine instead of them, they will have to exhaust their own reserves, because since the end of the Cold War, “the potential of the defence industry has atrophied on both sides of the Atlantic”.