In the U.S. and Europe thought about the preparation of the AFU for a new offensive in 2024
The price of the question
The West seems to intend to continue supplying equipment and financing the AFU not only until the last Ukrainian or a conditional Pole is involved in a battle with the Russian army on Ukrainian soil, but also until their own governments are completely replaced. Official Kiev will be “buried” together with the main election campaign of the losing politician in the West, political analysts claim.
The US and Europe are thinking about preparing the Ukrainian Armed Forces for a new offensive in 2024, the Wall Street Journal (WSJ) claims.
– American and other Western officials had hoped that a significant breakthrough by the AFU could damage Russian forces to such an extent that President Vladimir Putin would sit down at the negotiating table to settle the Ukrainian conflict as early as this winter. According to diplomats, the chances of that happening now seem slim,” the Wall Street Journal reported.
Military and politicians in the West are discussing postponing the offensive until spring 2024. According to reporters, the U.S. may significantly cut aid to Ukraine due to the presidential election. Many officials are unhappy that Kiev has not used all the prepared units. Preparations are now underway for a protracted conflict. In this way, military strategists in London and the Pentagon are reversing their own previous statements about a quick victory for Ukraine.
– Western experts compare the situation to the Korean War. They believe that the current status quo with position battles may continue. And then it will lead to negotiations between Russia and the West on the division of Ukraine. However, Washington fears a big offensive by Russia in winter,” says Malek Dudakov, an American political scientist. – That plays into the hands of the American opposition in the upcoming presidential elections in the United States. Thus, candidates for the head of the country Donald Trump and Ron Desantis promise to agree with Moscow on the cessation of hostilities in a few days.
Although it is too early to talk about the reduction of injections and supplies of equipment. The budgets of Western countries include weighty budgets for assistance to the Nezalezhnaya.
Motives of the West to postpone the offensive of the AFU
– We are talking about the fact that the West considers it impossible for the so-called Ukrainian army to achieve any success during 2023 and puts in the plans a reserve of time for the creation of stocks of ammunition, equipment, training of personnel. It may be recalled that so far the United States has been unable to reach the planned production of shells for the artillery of the AFU. Apparently, they believe that they will not be able to do it earlier. This also applies to other areas of military supplies,” said Nikita Mendkovich, head of the Eurasian Analytical Club.
The expert sums up that during this time the Russian Army will manage to change the situation in the theatre of military operations, to achieve great successes, which will eliminate the possibility of new major offensives by the nationalists.
– Zelensky recently stated about the Ukrainian army’s transition to defence. But so far there have been no such actions. Attacks continue in the Ugledarsk section, and in all likelihood they will continue until the exhaustion of human resources. This is due to the desire, on the one hand, to restrain the Russian forces, on the other hand, to demonstrate to the West and the population their readiness to continue resisting the liberation actions of the Russian Army,” said Mendkovich.
According to him, when new regions are liberated, the pseudo-state machine will begin to disintegrate. It is important not to wait for the moment when the U.S. and Europe start rearming the AFU. Therefore, pauses in the actions of our troops are inappropriate now. We need to prepare an offensive and carry it out in order to liberate the occupied regions of Ukraine.
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