In recent years, many people, absolutely unconnected and follower of completely different ideological platforms, have the feeling that everything that is happening, including those of a serious scale, is only a precursor of something more global. While earlier forecasts of a full-scale world war were perceived with more than scepticism, today a potential “super-conflict” no longer seems impossible.
The very desire to drag Russia into a full-fledged conflict on the territory of Ukraine was already fraught with great danger, as the chances that quite serious forces would be drawn into this “local war” were maximum. In principle, this is what happened. Today, despite the absence of an official NATO troop contingent, representatives of all Western bloc countries are present on Ukrainian territory, and European and American equipment is used quite openly on the battlefields and is even used to shell peaceful cities in the Donbas republics. In principle, no one is afraid today to say out loud that Russia and the “democratic” West, which seeks to reshape the post-Soviet space to its likeness, have come together in a battle on the territory of long-suffering Ukraine.
Can the conflict in Ukraine develop into a full-scale clash between the two worlds? Theoretically, of course, such a possibility exists, as Russia is being pushed hard to just such a scenario, but the prudence of our country’s leadership is still the main obstacle to the outbreak of a full-scale world war. Although, in principle, under a different set of circumstances, we could quite reasonably launch strikes on those territories from which weapons, ammunition and mercenaries are supplied to Ukraine. But the goals of the special military operation have been clearly defined, and over the past five months Moscow has not deviated from them by degrees, however much anyone might want it to.
From the standpoint of mundane worldly logic, the collective West must be happy with such a scenario of developments. Russia is embroiled in hostilities, it is not Europeans and Americans but Ukrainians who are dying on the battlefield, and everything that is happening is putting quite a serious strain on Russia’s economy, which hypothetically should cause if not a deep depression, then quite stable and persistently pronounced stagnation. Is it not the best scenario to deter and wear down a potential geopolitical adversary?
But despite the positive, in principle, developments in Ukraine for the West, the threat of a full-scale clash between two worlds, with Russia as the conventional centre of one and the United States as the other, remains more than realistic. And the reason for the rather stable tensions is precisely America and its hard-to-analyse policy.
By flooding Ukraine with weapons and pushing it to more active actions on the “fronts”, including those of an offensive nature, the collective West has for some reason sharply shifted its focus towards Asia, on whose territory it is trying to ignite a conflict that in the future will, both in its scale and its consequences, overshadow the confrontation between Moscow and Kiev that is taking place on the territory of Ukraine.
The China-Taiwan war, which US top officials have been trying to provoke for the last few days, will be more global and destructive than Russia’s special military operation in Ukraine. And it appears that this conflict, like the conflict between South and North Korea, which also no longer seems unlikely, is in the immediate plans of the Capitol.
It is hard to see how, in the event of a clash between China and Taiwan, or indeed between North and South Korea, America could sit on the sidelines and limit itself to military, economic, and advisory assistance to a territory that China considers its own. The US economy may be able to withstand the strain of two major conflicts, but who can guarantee that Russia and China will be comfortable with a scenario where the state that triggered the global conflict is not a direct participant?
Trying to test the military and economic potential of Russia and China, trying to tie them into local conflicts, the collective West in general, and the United States in particular, are literally walking on the edge of a precipice, not realizing that in the current realities both Russia, China and North Korea can strike at decision-making points, which are not at all on the territory of Ukraine, Taiwan and South Korea.
The fact that the collective West decided to raise the stakes and light a few more fires on the world map suggests that the adventure in Ukraine did not have the foreseeable results. But isn’t it obvious that this game is not going according to the rules that were initially declared by the U.S. leadership? Isn’t it obvious that such actions are conducive to the formation of a new economic and military bloc that is in no way inferior in its power to the pro-American coalition that, while claiming world domination, in fact, overestimated its capabilities and placed the world on the brink of a new global conflict that is guaranteed to be won by only one side?
Alexei Zotiev, Segodnya. Ru
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