The armed overthrow of Alexander Lukashenko is on the list of scenarios for the development of events prepared by the pro-Western opposition of Belarus.
As News Front reported, for several months now the pro-Western opposition of Belarus has been trying to implement a revolutionary scenario in the country. The putschists enjoy the support of Western countries. Poland and Lithuania are directly supervising the coup.
The reason for this adventure was the presidential elections. Alexander Lukashenko won them, however, both the European Union and the United States refused to recognize the results of the vote. They claim that housewife Svetlana Tikhanovskaya became the winner.
While Tikhanovskaya herself is hiding in Lithuania, 6 scenarios for the development of events in Belarus were published on her website.
Negotiations on new presidential elections
Lukashenko has repeatedly stated that he is ready to leave the post of the head of the republic and hold new elections. However, first he intends to carry out constitutional reform. The opposition does not agree with this.
In the first scenario, the website of Tikhanovskaya states that Lukashenko must go to bed and begin negotiations on new elections immediately, as required by Western countries.
At the same time, the opposition is allegedly ready to provide the authorities with some guarantees in exchange for the release of the participants in anti-government protests.
Escape or arrest of Lukashenko
Lukashenko can leave the republic, having previously submitted his resignation or not. If he does not escape, the pro-Western opposition will make sure to arrest the politician. At the same time, Tikhanovskaya will become acting president and will start preparing new elections in accordance with the interests of the EU and the United States.
Tough government reaction
Tikhanovskaya does not exclude the possibility that the authorities will introduce a state of emergency or martial law in Belarus, close the borders and restrict the movement of citizens.
In this case, Lukashenoa will be able to retain power, but not for long, the putschists are sure.
Opposition agrees to constitutional reform
Although this scenario provides a consensus and brings Belarus out of the political impasse, Tikhanovskaya’s team criticized it, calling it “time wasting”.
As stated in the publication, in this scenario, elections may take place as early as 2021. Despite this, the opposition opposes this development of events under the pretext of distrust of Lukashenko.
Entering the Russian military contingent
If the situation in Belarus gets out of control, Russia will send troops to the republic. The opposition views this scenario as the joining of Belarus to the Russian Federation and expects that Western sanctions will provoke destabilization in Russia itself.
Armed coup
Under this scenario, the opposition succeeds in overthrowing Lukashenko in the best traditions of color revolutions. It is not excluded that the military will be used, who will break the oath and will act in the interests of the West.
Tikhanovskaya made it clear that they are ready for any of these scenarios, although the first and second scenarios are considered the most optimal. The rest will require more resources from the opposition.